Late Round Values

07/19/2019

Here are my favorite late round sleepers for this upcoming season. I know I will more than likely need to update this later on due to injuries. Hitting on a late round draft pick is so satisfying. For me it's the same when you pick up a stud off the waiver wire. Those lesser named guys can sometimes help get you over a bad week or win that game that comes down to the wire. The people who don't pay attention to the late round values, could quickly be scrambling for options during the year. Depth is important for a championship team. You never know what gem you can find hidden in your draft.

QB's-

Dak Prescott (ADP 12.06):I faded Prescott quite a few weeks last year. Once his schedule got easier and the team added Amari Cooper, he was a solid streamer. He ended up finishing as the QB12 on the year. He is going right around that price this year but I could see some room for improvement. I see Michael Gallup taking a step forward as well.

Kirk Cousins (ADP 13.01):Everyone does know that he threw for 4298 yards and 30 touchdowns last year right? He wasn't very consistent but I think that changes this year. He is a solid QB if you stayed away from the expensive top tier Qb's. I expect this team to take a step forward offensively and would not be surprised to see him with end with better numbers than 2018.

Andy Dalton (Undrafted):I am a huge believer in the Bengals offense this year. If you plan on streaming QB, Dalton should be a great option. He was on pace for 530 passing attempts, 3732 yards and 30 touchdowns. Which would have put into the top 20 at QB. Now I am not saying to draft him and start him every week, I just think he will be one of the best streaming options throughout the year. That offense should see a positive turnaround with the new coaching staff.

RB's-

Royce Freeman (ADP 8.09)- If you think Freeman won't be a factor yet again this year your wrong. I see this being a 50-50 time share with Freeman getting the the majority of the goal line carries. I have them projected fairly even in carries. Freeman is going to get the shot to begin stealing carries. Philip Lindsay say's he is back to 100% but only time will tell. The team invested in this guy and should give him a few more shots this year.

Adrian Peterson (ADP 11.03)-I am a big believer in Derrius Guice, but I won't discount the fact that AP ran for over 1000 yards last year on one of the least efficient teams. Guice is returning from a torn ACL and had delt with some hamstring issues this offseason. I think Guice will be the lead back, but AP is still going going to get touches. He is a great option if you went WR heavy in the first half of your draft.

Peyton Barber (ADP 10.12)- No one really knows if he will keep his starting job but if he does, this is a huge value. He was the RB26 in 2018. I am anticipating a decrease from the 234 rushes he had last year, but to still lead the team. I believe this team will give Ronald Jones another shot at the job. This pick carries the risk that he loses his job, but he should get the starting gig to start the year. At this ADP there aren't many RB options with that opportunity.

Devin Singletary (ADP 11.05)-I was in on Singletary even before news broke saying that LeSean McCoy's roster status isn't guaranteed a few months back. He is on the final year of his contract and wasn't great last year, averaging just 3.2 yards per carry. His career low. I think the Bills give Singletary a shot this year, but McCoy could still start the year as the starter. He has been looking good while working with the first team offense. Don't expect immediate production, I think he is a great stash to start the year.

Matt Breida (ADP 10.11)- It is looking like Jerrick McKinnon will start the year on IR. Leaving Breida and Tevin Coleman to take over. Coleman struggled when he took over for Devanta Freeman last year, while Breida was playing like he was superman. He is a tough player and has a shot and a decent amount of touches. Surprisingly he also finished the year with the 4th best yards per carry in the league.

Justice Hill (ADP 12.08)-Mark Ingram is set to take over the backfield in Baltimore, but don't count out the rookie. He has shown nice flashes during the preseason and could easily start to take Ingram's targets. I could see him being the third down back for this team, even taking away a few carries from Ingram. There aren't many viable options towards this part of the draft, so grab Hill who has great upside on one of the biggest rushing teams in the league.

WR's-

Marquez Valdez-Scantling (ADP 9.03)- I think this team is back to being the explosive high volume offense that we have seen in years past. I was not a fan of Mike McCarthy at all last season (I am a big Aaron Jones fan). Now that he is gone, the team should be able to get back on track. He has currently been working ahead of Geronimo Allison this offseason and should be Aaron Rodgers #2 target. He is continually getting talked up by Rodgers and Davante Adams which hopefully won't cause his ADP to rise to much. He has WR2 upside this season.

Keke Coutee (ADP 10.05)- Will Fuller has yet to finish an entire season in his NFL career and even if he does play a full season, I have the Texans as a top 5 offense this year. I think DeShaun Watson is going to light it up. The team should have favorable game scripts and could get into quite a few shootouts. I would much rather draft Coutee in the 10th than Will Fuller in the 7th. (This is something to monitor. Coutee injured his knee during the teams first preseason game and we do not know the timetable for recovery.)

DeSean Jackson (ADP 10.06)-Now back in Philly, Jackson still looks like he has a lot in the tank. Through the Buccaneers first 7 games, he scored 5 touchdowns. He is a huge boom or bust player, but I think he should have quite a few boom games with Carson Wentz.

Anthony Miller (ADP 11.09)-Here are the top 5 in slot touchdowns just last season. 1) Tyreek Hill 2) Eric Ebron 3) Adam Thielen 4) ANTHONY MILLER 5) Antonio Brown. The rookie finished the year with 7 total touchdowns. He wasn't fully healthy at all last year but still managed to impress. He had surgery this offseason and will easily out perform his current ADP. Don't miss out on this guy this year.

Daesean Hamilton (Undrafted)-I think Hamilton could lead the team in targets this year. He started to show at the end of the season, that he can be a solid PPR flex play each week. He had at least 8 targets and 5 catches in each of the last four weeks of the season. I don't like what I saw from Courtland Sutton last year. Give me the guy who outperformed Sutton at seasons end and is going a few rounds later.

Albert Wilson (Undrafted)-With Ryan Fitzpatrick looking to take the starting job in Miami, these WR should finally see some decent numbers. He was slinging it with the Buccaneers last season. Per Pro Football Focus, Fitzpatrick has thrown the highest % of passes to the slot WR among active QB's. I think Wilson takes over the slot job for this squad. This offense will improve from past years.

Mohamed Sanu (Undrafted)-Calvin Ridley is the favorite to take over the WR2 spot at some point, but Sanu won't make it easy on him. Last year Sanu out targeted Ridley, so why can't it still be close like last year? There is a HUGE price difference between these two. I do have Ridley ranked higher than Sanu, but my projections for both guys are fairly close. Ridley is going as the WR22, while Sanu is going as the WR70. Give me Sanu in 2019.

Jameison Crowder (ADP 12.01)-I still think that Robby Anderson is the WR1 on this team, but he has a tough slate of CB matchups this season. Crowder is primarily a slot WR, and could be a nice safety blanket for Sam Darnold. The Jets won't have a great defense, leaving the team to lean on the passing game. He could provide solid value at the end of your draft.

TE's-

Mark Andrews (ADP 13.06)-If you miss on the Big 3 at TE, there is plenty of value to go around. Mark Andrews is one of my favorite. He had the 22nd most yards in a season by a rookie. TE usually take time for them to develop into usable fantasy options. He also ranked 5th in yards per route run. He was Lamar Jackson's go to last season. I have this team passing more than it did last season.

Jordan Reed (ADP 13.04)-Surprisingly, Reed actually had 84 targets last season amounting to the 9th most in the league for this position.This all while only playing 13 games. He has always had an injury problem so there is some risk, but at this point your looking for high upside. I think this is worth the risk. He seems healthy so far this year and could end up being an every week starter on your roster.

Defenses:

Dallas Cowboys

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills

Late Round Values

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