2019 "My Guys"

Everyone has those players who they target in every single draft. It just happens. There are always tons of value scattered around the board it's just a matter of finding it. The guys below are players who will mostly likely end up on a majority of my rosters. I am all in on these guys having amazing seasons. 

Cam Newton (ADP 9.01, QB10) 

This is either everyone freaking out about how he couldn't throw deep at the end of last year or fear he won't be fully recovered. I think Cam is one of the best QB values this upcoming year. He gives you top 5 upside at the position. He was on a tear last season before getting hurt. He threw for multiple touchdown passes in every game from week 2-11. Cam was cleared to throw in early June and it looks like he will be a full go for training camp. I had similar confidence in Andrew Luck's health last year. I will say though there is always a risk of a set back. If everything stays on course with Cam, he is going to be a huge value this year. 

Dalvin Cook (ADP 2.05, RB10) 

Cook is one of my favorite fantasy targets this year. I'm rolling the dice that he actually stays healthy this year. If he does, he's in for a huge season. Gary Kubiak was hired to the Vikings earlier this season as their offensive adviser. The team wants to improve in their rushing game and plan to ride Dalvin Cook this year. Kubiak has a long track history of producing top 12 fantasy backs. He believes in the "Bell Cow" back and averaged around 291 touches for the teams RB1. This is an offense you want in on once again this year. From weeks 12-17, he averaged 17.9 fantasy points per game after returning from his early season injury. The key here is health. Make sure to grab Alexander Mattison later in your draft as your handcuff. 

Kerryon Johnson (ADP 3.05, RB13)

I really hope this price doesn't change so I can get a potential top 12 back in the 3rd round. For those worried that C.J. Anderson is going to come in and take over, don't. The new offensive coordinator has already stated his commitment to the running game this season. I think this offense might actually be slept on this year. After fully stating him out, he has been projected as my RB10 on the year. Last year he averaged about 4 targets and 11.8 carries per game, but in some of those games he was barley even on the field. The Lions didn't want to increase his workload at the start of the season. Both of those numbers are surely set to increase. The team may elect to cut Theo Riddick, which would save them $3.66 million in cap savings. This would also free up targets that KJ could take. Kerryon is a steal to me at the end of the 3rd round. 

Mike Evans (ADP 2.08, WR8) 

I debated going back and forth between Evans and T.Y. Hilton. I love both guys but I have Evans as my WR4 this year. Evans finished as the WR9 in PPR last year. The price is warranted but I think this offense is going to shine with the Bruce Arians hire. There are also about 179 targets up for grabs after DeSean Jackson and Adam Humphries signed with other teams. Evans has averaged 148.75 targets over the last 4 years. I only gave him 12.84% of the vacated targets. He could make a case for the WR1 at the end of the year. I have him finishing with 103/1607/8. 

Christian Kirk (ADP 6.10, WR29)

I have Kirk ranked as the WR23. This offense should be fun to watch. Kliff Kingsberry is looking or a more fast paced offense which fits perfectly with Kyler Murray and David Johnson. I am anticipating Kirk taking a nice step forward this year. Taking the 12 games he played in, he was on a 16 game pace of about 91 targets. Last year's team was very inefficient. I actually only bumped up Kirk's target total to 109 for this season. This team will play more snaps and score more points than they did in 2018. Don't sleep on the Cardinals offense this year. 

Austin Hooper (ADP 10.03, TE11)

Hooper fell under the radar it seems after finishing as the TE6 last year. If I don't get one of the top 3 TE, I more than likely drafting Hooper. I mean there are defenses going before him right now. It's absurd. Nothing has changed with this team, they will be a top offense in the NFL. The return of Devonta Freeman will help even more. This position was awful last year other than a few guys. Here is one of those guys. I am anticipating him having a similar year as last year, only with a slight increase in touchdowns. I currently have Hooper as the TE8, but the difference between my TE4 and him is only 10 points. 

David Montgomery (ADP 4.01, RB18)

I am going to have a lot of Montgomery this season. He wasn't the fastest at the combine, but he has shown his balance and vision as a back. He isn't going to be easy to take down. There is a ton of hype around him so far this offseason and I am all aboard. With Jordan Howard gone, it frees up 250 carries from the previous season. I don't see Cohen taking over at all. He is going to be a fan favorite very soon. 

I'm drafting these guys heavy this year. It might not be possible to get all of them on the same team but if I end up with a few on each league I'll be happy. Everyone's draft is different, you never know who will fall or go way to early. I'll highlight a few of my favorite late round picks in my "Late Round Sleepers" article.